Extremes in dynamic-stochastic systems

Link:
Autor/in:
Erscheinungsjahr:
2017
Medientyp:
Text
Schlagworte:
  • Stochastic systems
  • Dynamical systems
  • Turbulent dynamical
  • Climate Models
  • Model
  • Rainfall
  • Stochastic systems
  • Dynamical systems
  • Turbulent dynamical
  • Climate Models
  • Model
  • Rainfall
Beschreibung:
  • Extreme events capture the attention and imagination of the general public. Extreme events, especially meteorological and climatological extremes, cause significant economic damages and lead to a significant number of casualties each year. Thus, the prediction of extremes is of obvious importance. Here, I will survey the predictive skill and the predictability of extremes using dynamic-stochastic models. These dynamic-stochastic models combine deterministic nonlinear dynamics with a stochastic component, which consists potentially of both additive and multiplicative noise components. In these models, extremes are created by either the nonlinear dynamics, multiplicative noise, or additive heavy-tailed noises. These models naturally capture the observed clustering of extremes and can be used for the prediction of extremes. Published by AIP Publishing.
Lizenz:
  • info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess
Quellsystem:
Forschungsinformationssystem der UHH

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oai:www.edit.fis.uni-hamburg.de:publications/3db4fe21-a393-446f-bb36-0e626f8a720e