Impact of in-consistency between the climate model and its initial conditions on climate prediction

Link:
Autor/in:
Erscheinungsjahr:
2017
Medientyp:
Text
Schlagworte:
  • Climate prediction
  • El Niño
  • Initialization
  • Momentum balance
  • Tropical Pacific
Beschreibung:
  • Pacific. In GIH, the differences between the oceanic and atmospheric state at initial time leads to imbalance between the zonal wind stress and pressure gradient force over the equatorial Pacific, which leads to the additional pseudo El Niño events and explains reduced predictive skill. The bal-ance can be reestablished if anomaly initialization strategy is applied with GECCO2 initial conditions and improved predictive skill in the tropical Pacific is observed at lead year one. However, initializing the coupled model with self-consistent initial conditions leads to the highest skill of climate prediction in the tropical Pacific by preserving the momentum balance between zonal wind stress and pressure gradient force along the equatorial Pacific.
Lizenz:
  • info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess
Quellsystem:
Forschungsinformationssystem der UHH

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Quelldatensatz
oai:www.edit.fis.uni-hamburg.de:publications/1c28d92a-b0b4-4072-83b3-8c234c5e4178