Vecchi et al. question the skill of our initialized multiyear predictions of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), arguing that our predictions do not outperform their suggested climatological reference forecast-using a single measure of skill. We show that our initialized AMOC predictions do outperform the climatological reference forecast, using both measures of hindcast performance that were presented in our original paper.
Vecchi et al. question the skill of our initialized multiyear predictions of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), arguing that our predictions do not outperform their suggested climatological reference forecast-using a single measure of skill. We show that our initialized AMOC predictions do outperform the climatological reference forecast, using both measures of hindcast performance that were presented in our original paper.