How does seasonal variability in growth, recruitment, and mortality affect the performance of length-based mortality and asymptotic length estimates in aquatic resources?

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2013

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We tested the sensitivity of eight methods for estimating total mortality from size frequencies (modified Wetherall; Powell; Beverton and Holt; Jones and van Zalinge; Hoenig; Ssentongo and Larkin; seasonal and non-seasonal Length Converted Catch Curve) to violations of basic assumptions, such as seasonal growth, mortality, recruitment and variable asymptotic length L or growth parameter K. For each method, bias was estimated by simulating length frequency distributions with different combinations of known L, Z and K values, calculating θ (Z/K) and L estimates, and comparing the true input with the estimated output values. Input mortality was generally underestimated by all methods and in 27% of all simulations no method provided estimates within θ ± 1. Spring recruitment especially negatively influenced the mortality estimate. A decision tree was developed that provides general guidance in selecting appropriate methods despite violated assumptions, but species-specific case studies are recommended. An example of a species-specific study is provided for the brown shrimp, Crangon crangon. Despite inherent limitations for all methods, the results illustrate that estimates of θ and Z for brown shrimp can be improved substantially by selecting suitable methods and correcting for observed bias. © 2012 International Council for the Exploration of the Sea.

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