Anwendung von Climate Engineering: Ein Problem für Frieden und Sicherheit

Application of Climate Engineering: A problem for peace and security: Although a global consensus about the implementation of climate engineering (CE) technologies is currently unlikely, their initial intention appears to be peaceful. However, the application of some CE technologies requires a steady – or even intensifying – use over long periods of time in order to avoid physical or psychological termination effects. Such CE applications are difficult to reconcile with democratic policy and thus carry a substantial conflict potential. Furthermore, difficulties in measurement or application doses of CE technologies may amplify already existing conflicts. From CE applications, plausible and relevant direct and indirect consequences for peace and security can be derived. The most important linkages of effects and their implications for security are described in complex networks of the consequences of CE applications. These are implemented in a diffusion model to assess the predominant activities and sinks that are possible in such network structures. Applying this model to the examples of stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) and bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS), the immanent political and socioeconomic consequences become apparent. Interestingly, some of these effects can already be triggered by information about the CE application, e.g. by fake news.